Categories: Football Analysis

Best NFL Bets This Week And Predictions – Week Six, 2023

It’s challenging to know what to expect each week in the NFL and understand the best bets. That is why I bring you the best NFL bets this week and predictions for each game. Week Five had fewer surprises than usual, but there’s still a ton to take away from the games. Week six has many fascinating matchups to look out for, and we’ll discuss those here. Use promo code TREYSCHNEIDER on Underdog Fantasy to match your deposit up to $100. Please gamble responsibly and leave your feedback on Twitter @FBIntellect.

Broncos @ Chiefs (-10.5)

Broncos: 20, Chiefs: 37

Bets:

  • O/U: 50 – Over (-105) (Decent Bet)
  • Patrick Mahomes Pass Yards O/U: 286.5 – Over (Underdog Fantasy) (Excellent Bet)
  • Russell Wilson Pass Yards O/U: 218.5 – Over (Underdog Fantasy) (Decent Bet)
  • Nick Bonito Sacks O/U: 0.5 – Over (Underdog Fantasy) (Decent Bet)

This matchup is bound to make for a high-scoring game, at least for the Chiefs. Denver’s defense is a mess, and Pat Mahomes will take advantage of it. As long as Kelce is good to go, I’d bet Kansas City puts up at least 30 points. Russell Wilson hasn’t looked so bad and should be able to get some points on the board. Just don’t expect him to outscore someone like Mahomes and Reid.

Ravens (-3.5) @ Titans

Ravens: 23, Titans: 17

Bets:

  • Lamar Jackson Rush Yards O/U: 42.5 – Under (Decent Bet) (Underdog Fantasy)

After coming off a tough blow of a loss, I’m projecting Baltimore to bounce back this week. This is a classic old-school kind of game that will undoubtedly be low-scoring. We’ve seen this matchup plenty of times, and we all know Lamar has struggled mostly against this defense. Because of that, it’s not wise to bet, but I ultimately really like what Todd Monken has done offensively. While it could go either way, it’ll at least be fun to watch without any bets.

Panthers @ Dolphins (-14)

Panthers: 17, Dolphins: 30

Bets:

Carolina is undoubtedly having a rough year, but I could see this being closer than some would expect. Bryce Young has shown enough to move the ball somewhat on offense. However, This is a legit defense, and you have no chance of keeping up with this high-octane offense. Carolina could put up a fight, but their chances of victory are slim. I would stay away from the spread, though.

Saints (-1.5) @ Texans

Saints: 19, Texans: 24

Bets:

  • Money line: Texans (+106) (Decent Bet)
  • Chris Olave: 59.5 REC Yards O/U – Under (Decent Bet) (Underdog Fantasy)

C.J. Stroud could struggle in this game, although this defense should win them the game. The Texans have had a fantastic back half of the defense, and Derek Carr will likely struggle against it. As the over/ under suggests, this will be a relatively low-scoring game. I wouldn’t mind the money line, but it will be a sweater.

Commanders @ Falcons (-2.5)

Commanders: 20, Falcons: 21

Bets:

  • Bijan Robinson REC Yards: 24.5 – Over (Excellent Bet) (Underdog Fantasy)
  • Kyle Pitts REC Yards: 32.5 – Over (Excellent Bet) (Underdog Fantasy)

I would not bet this game’s over/ under or the spread. It’s too much of a wildcard, as both teams have certain advantages over each other. Atlanta runs the ball well, but Washington’s D-Line has several studs. Atlanta has a legitimate secondary, and Howell is bound to take unnecessary sacks and possibly throw picks. It could go either way, but it should make for a somewhat entertaining game, to say the least.

Colts @ Jaguars (-4.5)

Colts: 24, Jaguars: 31

Bets:

  • O/U: 45.5 – Over (-110) (Decent Bet)
  • Gardner Minshew Pass Yards O/U: 216.5 – Over (Underdog Fantasy) (Excellent Bet)

This game is another that’s hard to bet on as both teams seem to surprise each week. I’d bet Gardner Minshew plays well and puts up some points because he used to play for the Jags. Revenge games are a real thing, and it could very well happen this week. While the Colts should be able to manufacture some offense, this secondary will likely be exposed again by Trevor Lawrence. It should be a high-scoring affair, and betting the over would be a solid bet, but you also never know.

Seahawks @ Bengals (-2.5)

Seahawks: 20, Bengals: 27

Bets:

  • Bengals: -2.5 (-118) (Decent Bet)
  • DK Metcalf REC Yards O/U: 63.5 – Over (Decent Bet) Underdog Fantasy

It looks like old Joe Burrow is back, and the Seahawks should be fearful of that. They were without Tee Higgens and still scored 34 points on a scrappy defense. The Seahawks are a competitive team, but it’s hard to see them winning this one when the Bengals are hungry to back on top. It’s a home game, and the Bengals are barely favored, making this a solid bet on the spread.

Vikings (-3) @ Bears

Vikings: 27, Bears: 24

Bets:

We happen to get another ‘battle for Caleb Williams’ game again this week. The first thing that stands out about this game is that Justin Fields should have the opportunity to scramble for many yards. Brian Flores loves to play man coverage, which makes accounting for a scrambler tricky. I would also expect Kirk Cousins to have an excellent day passing, as the Bear’s defense still has a long way to go. This game will go down to the wire and isn’t worth betting on.

49ers (-4.5) @ Browns

49ers: 26, Browns: 13

Bets:

  • 49ers: -4.5 (-110) (Excellent Bet)
  • Brandon Aiyuk TD O/U: 0.5 – Over (Decent Bet) (Underdog Fantasy)

The Niners are a buzzsaw right now, and I don’t foresee Cleveland being the team to stop them. The Browns do not match up well against the Niners defense. While Deshaun Watson has a terribly high average time to throw, Nick Bosa and two other stud interior pass rushers will be screaming at him all day. Cleveland’s defense will be no easy outing, but the defense will ultimately come through.

Patriots @ Raiders (-2.5)

Patriots: 17, Raiders: 16

Bets:

This game will certainly be a captivating matchup because both head coaches know each other very well. Bill Belichick is desperate for a win, and my gut says he gets it this week. The big question for New England is whether they can contain Max Crosby. They have enough on offense to score some points on Las Vegas if they can. I would avoid betting; for all we know, Crosby wrecks this offense like he did to Green Bay.

Lions (-3) @ Buccaneers

Lions: 24, Buccaneers: 17

Bets:

The Lions offense against the Buc’s defense should be a fun matchup. Vita Vea and Shaq Barrett going against an elite run-blocking unit will be the main thing to watch. Baker has surprisingly played decent this year. It’s just that this Lion’s defense is a tough out. Jared Goff is playing better than ever and probably makes it through this exceptional defense alive. Tampa will likely be scrappy in this one; therefore, it’s not worth betting on the spread.

Cardinals @ Rams (-6)

Cardinals: 24, Rams: 28

Bets:

  • Cooper Kupp REC Yards: 91.5 – Over (Excellent Bet) (Underdog Fantasy)

Now that Cooper Kupp is back, Arizona will have difficulty stopping this offense. While the Rams O-Line isn’t great, they still have a highly effective offense. I love what I’m seeing from Jonathan Gannon, but he’ll probably get out schemed by McVay. The Rams also have a much better QB. Their defense has some significant holes that Arizona will exploit, but the coach-QB combo ultimately wins LA the game.

Eagles (-6.5) @ Jets

Eagles: 20, Jets: 16

Bets:

  • O/U: 42 – Under (-110) (Excellent Bet)

This game may seem like one bound to be a blowout, but the Jets match up well against Philly. The Eagles are almost last in first downs, converted into new series, while the Jets rank very high on conversions allowed on first down. The Jets also have a stout run defense and have guys to get after Jalen Hurts. While it likely isn’t a shootout, and the Jets stay in, the Eagles still probably pull away with this one.

Giants @ Bills (-14.5)

Giants: 24, Bills: 34

Bets:

  • Over/ Under: 45 – Over (-110) (Excellent Bet)

For what seemed to be an outstanding game coming into the year, this no longer seems like much of a game. Brian Daboll gets to face off against his old team, and I imagine he will give it all he’s got this week. If the Giants can turn this season around, it’s by beating the Bills on prime time. It still likely won’t happen, but don’t be surprised to see this closer than the spread would suggest.

Cowboys (-2.5) @ Chargers

Cowboys: 26, Chargers: 24

Bets:

It’s another matchup where two former coaches face off against each other – what a coincidence. This game feels like it’ll go down to the wire, and anyone could win. I’d take Dallas in this one, but stay away from the spread. Both Cowboys games and Chargers games are very unpredictable. My gut says we’ll get the good version of Dak this night, and the Cowboys will probably win if that’s the case.

Trey Schneider

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