Luke Musgrave is a very appealing Tight End prospect but a guy that will carry great risk with drafting him. That’s because he missed all but two games this past season and has an undisclosed knee injury. NFL teams will have advanced medical reports on him, which may cause him to drop later than we can anticipate or go even higher. Whether Musgrave ends up falling or not, he has Darren Waller-Esque potential and undoubtedly has a chance to become an elite receiving threat. He has the speed-size combo you look for at TE and looked like a natural receiver at Oregon State.
Three games were evaluated, and clips from his film are broken down here. All relevant traits were graded based on his film. His scouting report also factored in stats and analytics, such as PFF grades. Use promo code TREYSCHNEIDER on Underdog Fantasy to match your deposit up to $100. Thank you to both TFG and PFF for inspiring this draft content. Please leave your feedback on Twitter, @FBIntellect.
| Profile |
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| 3rd TE / 1-2 RD | 6’6 / 250 | Class – RS-JR | College – Oregon State |
| Pro Comparison |
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| Shades of Darren Waller |
| Scheme |
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| Receiving |
Receiving Stats
2022 (through WK 2):
TGT – 15
REC – 11
YDS – 169
TDS – 1
2021:
TGT – 37
REC – 22
YDS – 304
TDS – 1
Clip Analysis
In this clip above, Musgrave showcases his big-play ability – he shows explosiveness and fluidity.
Here does a great job of getting open and making the catch in traffic on the sideline.
In this one, he demonstrates very good ball tracking and possession skills after beating press and running a smooth route.
Grades
Overall Draft Grade: 77.2
Impact Grade
Overall – 72.2
Receiving – 74.6
Blocking – 58.6
Potential Grade
Overall – 90.0
Receiving – 91.1
Blocking – 79.1
Traits/ Skills (see bottom of the page for scale)
Each trait/attribute is graded 1-7.
| Traits | Immediate | Potential |
| SPD | 6 | 6 |
| ACC | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| AGI | 5.6 | 5.8 |
| STR | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| VER | 6.2 | 6.2 |
| DRP | 4 | 5.6 |
| CIT | 4.8 | 6 |
| DIC | 4.8 | 6.2 |
| SMRR | 3.8 | 5.4 |
| DRR | 4.3 | 6.2 |
| REL | 4 | 5.8 |
| RAC | 5.6 | 6 |
| IQ | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| RBLK | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| MBLK | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| PPRO | 3 | 4.3 |
| TE Key |
|---|
| SPD – Speed ACC – Acceleration AGI – Agility STR – Strength VER – Vertical (height and jumping) DRP – Drop (while open, and accurate) CIT – Catch In Traffic DIC – Difficult Catching (catch radius) |
| SMRR – Short/ Intermediate Route Running DRR – Deep Route Running REL – Release RAC – Run After Catch IQ – Football IQ RBLK – Run Blocking MBLK – Move Blocking PPRO – Pass Protection |
Player Notes
- Luke Musgrave is a long explosive athlete with the ability to make plays downfield. He currently has the 14th highest potential grade on the FBI 2023 Big Board.
Pros
- According to ‘College Football Freaks List 2022‘ by Bruce Feldman, he ran a 4.51 40-yard dash and had a broad jump of nearly 122″.
- Has elite vertical ability; both in size and jumping ability.
- He accelerates in a hurry and has the elite speed to be a true vertical threat.
- His elite physical traits will potentially allow him to become a dominant RAC threat.
- Was able to get open with ease down the field; showed good change of direction.
- Has flashed the ability to make highlight real catches and has very strong hands.
- Shows great burst and agility in his short-intermediate routes.
- Was held back by poor QB play and poor coaching.
- He has the ideal frame and raw strength to play Tight End in the traditional role.
- Is capable of making some nice lead blocks.
- Could one day be a good run blocker and be better in pass-pro.
- He seemed to have improved in his Junior year before getting injured.
Cons
- Knee injury may hold him back going forward – only has so much film to watch (received a -.4 deficit to his draft grade due to injury).
- His functional strength as a run blocker could greatly improve
- Needs to improve his technique as a run blocker and pass-protector; doesn’t get good leverage.
- Catches with his body rather than his hands – this issue could be fixed.
- Never showed very good production and played only in the Pac-12.
- He didn’t consistently come down with impressive catches but flashed the ability to do so.
Combine
40 yd: 4.61
10 yd: 1.54
Shuttle:
3 cone:
Broad: 125″
Vertical: 36″
Bench:
Arm Length: 32 5/8″
Hand Size: 10 3/8″
Grading Scale
Pot=Potential: players’ highest upside
Imp=Impact: player’s immediate impact
| Draft Grade Formula | |
| Age: 21-22: | POT=(30%) IMP=(70%) |
| Age: 23-24: | POT=(28%) IMP=(72%) |
| Age:-25+: | POT=(26%) IMP=(74%) |
| Good/ bad character: | POT=(+2%/-2%) IMP=(-2%/+2%) |
| Injury: | POT=(-1%) in increments |
| Scheme Grade Weight: |
|---|
| REC=(.78) BLCK=(.24) |
| Individual trait scale (1-7): |
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| 7 – Rare world-class skill; best in the league and no room for improvement | 6 – Great-elite skill; one of the best at that given trait but still has some room to improve | 5 – Very good; above average and has potential to be elite | 4 – Average; able to suffice but, not ideal long-term | 3 – Below average; able to suffice at college level | 2 – Poor; hinders overall play and is a liability to the team | 1 – Awful; not good enough to play given position at any level above D2 | Note: Consistency plays a large factor. |
| Overall Draft grade scale (15-100): |
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| 84 – Perfect prospect | 81 – Bluechip prospect | 80 – Likely all-pro | 79 – Day one quality starter or superstar potential | 78 – Day one starter w/ all-pro upside | 77 – Day one starter w/ high-end upside | 76 – Boom or bust | 75 – Will become quality starter within 2-3 years | 74 – Boom or bust (high risk) | 73 – Will become starter within 2-3 years |
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